Ballot Math / Arizona Legislature / LD28
Candidate races: Arizona Legislature, District 28

LD28: a safe Republican district in the northwest Valley

November 3, 2026 general election. District 28 is entirely in Maricopa County. It contains Sun City and Sun City West, most of Peoria, and parts of Phoenix and Surprise. Registration in the 2026 general election guide: 48.08 percent Republican, 21.98 percent Democratic, 29.94 percent other. The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission rated the district outside the competitive range, and the Arizona Republic lists a key election vote spread of Republican plus 24.97 percent. The 2024 presidential vote in the district was Republican plus 23.1 points. No forecaster rating for these specific races was found. A note on geography: this district is sometimes confused with District 4, which holds Paradise Valley and Arcadia. LD28 does not.

State Senate: Carroll vs. Braun

The structural fact: Sen. Frank Carroll won reelection in 2024 against only a Democratic write in candidate, 98.9 percent to 1.1 percent. He was unopposed in the 2026 Republican primary, with 32,411 votes. Michael Braun was unopposed in the Democratic primary, with 18,256 votes. On the registration and recent results above, this is not a competitive general election under any published measure we found. The choice is real, the outcome math is not close.

Frank Carroll (Republican, incumbent)

State senator for LD28 since January 2023. State representative 2019 to 2023, first elected in 2018 for the old District 22. Born and raised in Chicago. Before politics: service mechanic for a forklift and construction equipment dealer, then a trainer and certified subject matter expert for a vehicle test equipment maker, covering vehicle computer systems, emissions, safety systems, and electric vehicle technology, then work in tourism. He describes himself as a Christian constitutional conservative. Senate Majority Whip for the 2025 session, named in the Senate Republican leadership announcement alongside Majority Leader Janae Shamp.

Record and key actions (verified items only; see verification notes):

  • HB 2650 (2021), as a House member: he was among the House Republicans who introduced a bill to classify abortion as first degree premeditated murder and require prosecutors to charge women who receive abortions and doctors who provide them. Democrats and abortion rights groups denounced it as extreme. It did not become law.
  • Tonto Creek bridge (2019): he was part of a bipartisan group of lawmakers who supported a $20 million appropriation to build a bridge over Tonto Creek at the Bar X crossing after a deadly flood.
  • HB 2133 (2026), age and consent verification for sexual material published online: YES on the conference report vote on June 9, 2026, per Vote Smart.
  • SB 1683 (2026), land ownership by foreign adversaries, prohibition: listed as a bill he carried that was signed by the governor in June 2026, per bill tracking summaries. Treat the sponsorship listing as the sourced fact, not a vote tally.
  • Budget posture (2025): the Arizona Republic reported he was part of a group of senators, not fully aligned with the House Freedom Caucus, dedicated to pushing a more conservative budget in negotiations.

Affiliation noted in coverage: he and Rep. David Livingston are reported members of the National Association of Christian Lawmakers, an organization that opposes same sex marriage and supports anti abortion legislation.

Money: no campaign finance total for Carroll for this cycle was located in the sources retrieved as of October 27, 2026. His Democratic opponent's March 2026 figure is below, and the absence here is a gap in this page, not a claim that he raised nothing.

Controversies: the 2021 abortion bill above is the main policy controversy attached to his name in reputable coverage. No personal scandal was found.

Michael Braun (Democrat)

Union organizer and Democratic Party activist, per the Arizona Republic. No prior elected office was found in the sources retrieved.
  • Stated priorities (Arizona Republic summary of his platform): oversight of charter schools, water conservation, due process in deportation proceedings, and term and age limits for elected officials.
  • Money: campaign finance reports as of March 2026, via See the Money as compiled on Wikipedia: raised $810.00, spent $243.97, cash on hand $706.14. That date is part of the fact. No later total was retrieved.
  • Controversies: none found. Biography limits: beyond occupation as an organizer and activist, no detailed biography, education history, or campaign website content was located as of October 27, 2026.

State House: two seats, four candidates, two Republican incumbents

How this race works: vote for up to two. Both Republican incumbents are running again, in a district their party carried by about 25 points on the Redistricting Commission spread. The two Democrats are a retired teacher and an Air Force veteran and union organizer. For either Democrat to win a seat, that candidate must finish in the top two, ahead of at least one incumbent.

David Livingston (Republican, incumbent)

State representative for LD28 in the current term. First elected to the House in 2012 for District 22, served in the House 2013 to 2018, then in the state Senate 2019 to 2022, then returned to the House. He ran for state treasurer in 2022 and withdrew before the primary. Peoria resident. Arizona State University, bachelor's in finance, 1988. Former financial advisor: he built an Ameriprise Financial consulting business over about 20 years, reached the firm's top tier of franchise owners, and sold the franchise in 2013. Chairman of the House Appropriations Committee and vice chairman of the Joint Legislative Budget Committee, the two posts that sit at the center of state budget writing.

Record and key fights:

  • Division of Developmental Disabilities funding (2025): as Appropriations chairman he was a central figure in the fight over a $122 million supplemental shortfall for the Division of Developmental Disabilities, including the Parents as Paid Caregivers program. Livingston and other Republican budget leaders argued Gov. Hobbs had overspent and pushed for more legislative control and for cutting parent caregiver hours in half, to 20 per week. Parents and advocates said the delay put services for about 60,000 Arizonans at risk. A bipartisan bill to fund the agency passed in April 2025.
  • DNA database bill (2019): his bill to create a DNA database drew public outcry. He amended it so it applied only to people licensed to provide direct care in an intermediate care facility for individuals with intellectual disabilities.
  • School salary disclosure bill: a Livingston bill on school salary disclosure was vetoed by Gov. Hobbs, per Arizona Republic coverage summaries. The veto is the verified fact used here; the bill number was not confirmed in the sources retrieved.

Stated priorities (Arizona Republic): education and economic stability.

Controversies, with responses:

  • Recall effort (2025): Phoenix mother Jaime Kelley, whose daughter has a severe disability, led a recall campaign against Livingston, Speaker Steve Montenegro, Majority Leader Michael Carbone, and Rep. Matt Gress over the disability funding delay. Her petition said Livingston's inaction created fear and hardship for families. Livingston's stated position in the same fight was that the governor overspent and the program needed legislative controls. Reporting in 2025 said the organizers were not ready to cancel the recalls based only on early meetings, contingent on the final budget.
  • 2020 election: after the 2020 presidential election he supported the Stop the Steal movement, which claimed Donald Trump won nationally and in Arizona, per his biographical record. That claim was rejected by courts and by Arizona's own canvass.

Money: no clean cycle total for Livingston was located in the sources retrieved as of October 27, 2026, so none is printed.

Beverly Pingerelli (Republican, incumbent)

State representative since 2021. Former president of the Peoria Unified School District Governing Board and former science program coordinator at Grand Canyon University. She has held leadership roles on the House Education Committee and is associated with school choice and parental rights legislation.

Record and key actions:

  • HB 2484 (2025), school cell phones: sponsor. The law requires school districts and charter schools to adopt policies limiting student use of wireless devices and restricting social media access during the school day, with exceptions for teacher directed educational use, emergencies, and medical needs. Gov. Hobbs signed it on April 14, 2025, after vetoing a similar Pingerelli bill, HB 2793, in 2024 on the ground that schools were already addressing the issue. Pingerelli on signing: "Arizona classrooms are for learning, not TikTok," and "education requires attention, and attention is exactly what today's students are being robbed of by addictive devices and endless scrolling."

Stated priorities (her campaign, per the Arizona Republic): border security, additional election restrictions, and combating inflation, alongside school choice and parental rights in schools.

Controversies: the Arizona Republic's 2024 candidate guide noted she was among a group of Republican lawmakers who continued to question the results of the 2020 presidential election in the following years. No other controversy of significance was found. Money: no cycle total located in the sources retrieved, so none is printed.

Barbara Fike (Democrat)

Second generation native Arizonan, educated in Arizona public schools from kindergarten through university. Alhambra High School, then Northern Arizona University: bachelor's in social science and a master's in adult education. A polio survivor from infancy, with minor mobility issues. She worked with DES food stamps, in church based community development, and teaching English as a second language at Arizona Western College, South Mountain Community College, and Glendale Community College, before a 31 year teaching career in the Deer Valley School District as an English, social studies, and government teacher. Retired in 2014; she still teaches English part time at community colleges. This House run follows an earlier run for the same seat in 2024, per candidate listings from that cycle.
  • Stated priorities: her slogan is "Common Sense for the Common Good." She emphasizes public schools, water management, and rights for all, per the Arizona Republic. Her earlier campaign materials also listed affordable housing, the state water supply, and education, plus criticism of the school voucher program: she said vouchers do not increase choices for low income parents and that more children could be assured a quality education if voucher funds were more carefully managed.
  • Money: no campaign finance totals located as of October 27, 2026. Controversies: none found.

Marc Graham (Democrat)

Air Force veteran and union organizer, per the Arizona Republic. His own social media biography describes him as a retired Air Force master sergeant, an aviation professional, a student and teacher, an Arizona resident for 25 years, and union strong. No prior elected office was found.
  • Stated priorities (Arizona Republic summary): make gerrymandering illegal, create universal health care, ban stock trading among politicians, establish one year of paid maternity leave, and place limits on CEO and executive compensation.
  • Money: no campaign finance totals located as of October 27, 2026. Controversies: none found. His platform is the most explicitly progressive in this district's fields, and it is running in a district registered 48 percent Republican; that mismatch is the electoral fact of his candidacy, stated without a prediction.

Verification notes

  • Geography correction made on purpose: some summaries misplace LD28 in north Phoenix and Paradise Valley. The district in the sources used here is Sun City, Sun City West, most of Peoria, and parts of Phoenix and Surprise, entirely in Maricopa County. Paradise Valley and Arcadia are in District 4.
  • Key vote depth is limited. One individual vote for Carroll (HB 2133, 2026) was verified through Vote Smart. Other tempting party line votes were not printed as individual votes without name level sources. Sponsored bills and public fights are used instead, and are labeled as such.
  • Money is the thinnest category on this page. Only Braun has a dated total (March 2026 reports). No cycle totals for Carroll, Livingston, Pingerelli, Fike, or Graham were located in TransparencyUSA, See the Money compilations, or news coverage retrieved by October 27, 2026.
  • Biography limits: Braun and Graham have very thin public records beyond the Arizona Republic's one line descriptions and, for Graham, his own social media biography. Nothing was invented to fill those gaps.
  • Livingston's legislative timeline crosses chambers and districts because of redistricting and a move to the Senate and back. The chamber dates above follow his Arizona Legislature biography and his electoral history as retrieved.

How to vote without getting your ballot rejected

  • Mail it by Tuesday, October 27, 2026. After that day, do not mail it: use a drop box or a vote center instead.
  • It must be received by 7 p.m. on Election Day, Tuesday, November 3. Postmarks do not count.
  • Sign and date the affidavit envelope, and write a current phone number on it.
  • For the House race, vote for up to two. Voting for one is allowed and does not spoil your ballot.
  • Leaving any item blank is allowed. It does not affect the rest of your ballot.
Ballot Math: analysis only, no endorsements. Same template as every race on this site: offices and record, key votes, money with dates, stated priorities, controversies with responses, and gaps admitted in the open.