Ballot Math / U.S. House / AZ-03
Candidate race: U.S. House of Representatives

Arizona's 3rd District: the race with no Republican on the ballot

November 3, 2026 general election. The district is entirely inside Maricopa County: most of southern, western, and downtown Phoenix, including South Phoenix, Laveen, and Maryvale, plus a southern portion of Glendale. It is majority Latino and nearly entirely urban. Three names are printed on the ballot: Yassamin Ansari (D, incumbent), David Redkey (Green), and Alan Aversa (No Labels). There is no printed Republican name, for a reason explained in the box below; a Republican, Jacob Parkman, is a qualified write-in only. Cook rates the district D+22, the most Democratic in Arizona, and Kamala Harris carried it 69.19 to 29.44 percent in 2024. Ballot note: the party appears as No Labels because a Maricopa County judge voided its attempted rename to "Arizona Independent Party" in March 2026; guides written during the rename window use the outdated label.
How they got here: Ansari, first elected in 2024 with 70.9 percent, was renominated unopposed (37,553 votes). No Republican filed for the printed primary ballot at all. Nicholas Glenn ran as a Republican primary write-in and got 437 votes, but Arizona law requires a write-in for a ballot-qualified party to clear a minimum vote threshold to advance, and 437 was below it, so no Republican advanced; Parkman instead qualified directly as a general election write-in, which is why some outlets say Ansari "faces a Republican write-in" while azcentral accurately says no Republican is on the ballot. Redkey won the Green nomination as a write-in with 5 votes. Aversa won the No Labels primary unopposed with 571 votes.

Yassamin Ansari (Democrat, incumbent)

Born April 7, 1992, in Seattle and raised in Arizona, the daughter of Iranian immigrants; described across sources as the first Iranian American Democrat elected to Congress and the youngest woman in the 119th Congress. Stanford (BA international relations, with honors), Cambridge (MPhil, as a Gates Cambridge Scholar). Climate advisor in the Executive Office of UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, working on the team that helped deliver the Paris Climate Agreement, later senior policy advisor to Secretary-General António Guterres and deputy policy director for Governor Jerry Brown's Global Climate Action Summit. Phoenix City Council, District 7, 2021 to 2025, including a term as Vice Mayor in 2023; on the council she created the city's Office of Heat Response and Mitigation, described as the first in the country. U.S. House since January 3, 2025; Democratic Freshman Class President; serves on the Oversight Committee. She won the seat in 2024 after a Democratic primary against former state Sen. Raquel Terán so close it went to an automatic recount (AP reported the recount margin as 39 votes; a certified results table shows a 42-vote gap, see Verification notes). Endorsements include Giffords, Planned Parenthood Action Fund, End Citizens United, the Arizona AFL-CIO, and Reproductive Freedom for All.

Key votes and record items:

  • Laken Riley Act: NO (January 7, 2025). She was the only Arizona House member to vote no. Her statement: the murder of Laken Riley "was a horrific tragedy," but the bill "will do nothing to prevent this kind of violence or reform our broken immigration system" and "serves as a license to discriminate against our immigrant communities, including DREAMers;" "someone charged, just charged, not found guilty, could be immediately deported. This is a gross miscarriage of justice, and I voted no."
  • One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R. 1): NO on final passage (July 3, 2025). In July 2026 she joined Rep. Stanton in Phoenix warning that the law's Medicaid and SNAP cuts were costing Arizonans coverage.
  • ICE and Border Patrol funding bill: NO (June 9, 2026), on the reconciliation bill sending roughly $70 billion to ICE and Border Patrol; all Arizona Republicans voted yes. She called the bill "disgusting" and "one of the most extreme immigration bills we have ever seen."
  • SAVE Act: outspoken opponent (April 2025): she co-authored an op-ed against it and spoke against it on the floor. Her final roll call vote is not separately confirmed in the sources reviewed (see Verification notes).
  • Crypto, a genuine party-break pair (July 17, 2025): YES on the CLARITY Act (digital asset market structure) and NO on the GENIUS Act (the stablecoin bill, which passed 308 to 122), per Stand With Crypto and the Freedom Index scorecard. She later cosponsored a "Ban Crypto Corruption" resolution.
  • Signature action: lead sponsor of H. Res. 1177, articles of impeachment against Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, filed April 15, 2026, alleging an unauthorized war in Iran, violations of the laws of armed conflict, reckless handling of sensitive military information, obstruction of oversight, and abuse of power. Her statement: "Pete Hegseth broke his oath to the Constitution, put U.S. troops at grave risk through the unauthorized disclosure of classified information, engaged in abuse of office and conduct beneath the dignity of his office, and carried out unlawful military actions despite his obligation to refuse." The resolution was referred to Judiciary and never received a floor vote.
  • Bills introduced: the Housing Vouchers Fairness Act (with Sen. Ruben Gallego), a House companion to the Excess Urban Heat Mitigation Act, the Heating and Cooling Relief Act expanding LIHEAP (with Sen. Edward Markey), an orphaned oil wells cleanup bill led with Sen. Michael Bennet, and a bill limiting stays at ICE holding centers to 12 hours; she has repeatedly pressed ICE over conditions at its Mesa facility.

Stated priorities: her campaign homepage leads with "rein in ICE and protect immigrant communities, defend reproductive freedom, and advance a bold agenda to lower costs for Arizonans," plus anti-corruption work on Oversight including demanding "justice for survivors in the Epstein case." Her own summary of her 2026 focus: "an affordability agenda to make housing, health care, and energy bills more affordable." Canvass themes she lists: "getting ICE out of our communities, lowering housing costs, and tackling extreme heat."

Money (FEC, as of September 30, 2026): raised $1,626,664, spent $1,282,755, with $354,320 on hand. She is, by orders of magnitude, the only funded candidate in this race.

Attacks and her answers: there is no personal scandal in the record found; the attacks on her are policy attacks, chiefly over the Laken Riley and immigration votes, answered in her own statement above. The Pentagon answered her Hegseth impeachment by calling it headline-seeking: Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson told USA TODAY Ansari is "just another Democrat trying to make headlines" and called the filing "just another charade in an attempt to distract the American people from the major successes we have had here at the Department of War." Her answer is the impeachment statement quoted above. A televised forum for this race was held with Aversa and Redkey; Ansari did not participate, and no on-record response from her about skipping it was found, so none is invented here. In July 2026 she also called for Barron Trump to testify before Oversight about reported contacts with Andrew and Tristan Tate; the sourcing on that episode is weaker than the rest of this page (see Verification notes).

David Redkey (Green Party)

Educator, per his candidate-submitted Arizona Voter Guide profile: AA from Glendale Community College, concurrent BA degrees in English and Communication from Arizona State University, an MEd in Secondary Education from ASU, and a graduate certificate from Northern Arizona University. He has taught English and social studies in multiple Valley school districts and owns TBI Writer, a small writing and communications business. His campaign site describes him as "a certified teacher, husband, and father who has proudly called Arizona home for nearly four decades." No prior elected office found; this appears to be his first run for Congress. One fact belongs in bold for voters: his own party actively opposes him. The Arizona Green Party's 2026 candidates page lists his candidacy as "ACTIVELY OPPOSED," and azcentral and FOX 10 both report the party did not endorse him and opposes the candidacy.

How he got on the ballot: he won the Green nomination as a write-in in the July 21 primary with 5 votes.

Stated priorities: campaign brand "Build Jobs / Not Bombs," and a platform he calls "Foundation Economics," "putting people over profits and restoring integrity to government," with the stated core belief: "The measure of a country's success is measured by the quality of life of its poorest people." Policy list from his voter guide profile: affordable and accessible health care through a proposed "TRICARE Prime for All" system; economic security for working families; affordable higher education; stronger public schools; housing affordability; progressive tax reform.

Money: no FEC filing over $5,000 was found, and no FEC committee totals for Redkey were located at all. The accurate statement is: no meaningful federal campaign finance record located as of October 27, 2026.

The arrest, and his response: on September 19, 2026, Redkey was arrested for sending what authorities describe as threats of violence to a Superior Court judge and an attorney's office, per azcentral (September 22, 2026), citing the Maricopa County Sheriff's Office and court records; MCSO said he "admitted to the communications." He faces felony charges of computer tampering and using electronic communication to intimidate, threaten, or harass, plus a misdemeanor count of threatening or intimidating. At his first court appearance, Deputy County Attorney Stephen Garcia said the emails included references to a gun, "a gun which was never recovered," and argued the threats put the judge's and attorney's children and others in public service in "real danger." Bond was set at $150,000. Redkey, wearing a shirt reading "being against genocide" over American and Palestinian flags, shook his head in disagreement while the prosecutor spoke, and told the judge he did not have the money to post bail and therefore would not be able to campaign anymore. That is the entirety of his on-record response found. No later statement, plea, or case disposition was found as of October 27, 2026, and whether he remains in custody is unknown from available sources. He participated in the televised forum for this race before the arrest.

Alan Aversa (No Labels Party)

Teacher, age 40, married, per his voter guide profile. BS in physics and astronomy (minors in math and Italian), University of Arizona, 2008, where he was a teaching assistant for an electricity and magnetism lab. He has since taught physics and computer programming in classrooms, online, and to homeschoolers, and is currently a substitute teacher for charter schools. Repeat candidate: he was the Green Party nominee for this same seat in 2024, winning that primary with 29 votes and taking 5,008 votes (2.5 percent) in the November 2024 general election, and in 2026 he switched ballot lines to No Labels. His self-submitted biography also lists a 2022 Phoenix Union school board run and a 2012 federal run; neither was independently verified here (see Verification notes). Endorsement status: he is not on the No Labels Party of Arizona's list of endorsed candidates. One aggregator reports an endorsement by anti-abortion activist Randall Terry, and his own site says he is part of a team of nine pro-life federal candidates running television ads through babies.vote; the Terry endorsement is single-sourced.

Stated priorities (his campaign site): he runs, in his three-line voter guide statement, "to give voters a choice beyond the Republican-Democrat uniparty 'choice,'" "to protect Arizona parents' right to choose how to educate their children," and "to defend the right to life from conception onward." Life: total opposition to abortion, argued from the Declaration of Independence, the Preamble, and the 14th Amendment. Education: parents are children's first educators; he opposes promoting "transgender, CRT (critical race theory), and other scientifically dubious theories and ideologies in schools, especially without parents' knowledge or consent." Economics, in distributist framing: "We must return to the land. Local, sustainable farming is the solution to the unemployment crisis. The means of production (capital) must be equitably distributed and decentralized, not centralized in the hands of the few." Foreign policy: "America first," against U.S. involvement and funding of wars by Israel, Ukraine, Iran, "and elsewhere" (his site's wording and characterizations are his campaign's, not verified fact).

Money: effectively none. One FEC-data aggregator lists $523 raised and $0 cash on hand through July 1, 2026; no filing over $5,000 was found. The safe statement: no significant FEC-reported fundraising.

Attacks and coverage: none found in news coverage. The notable facts are structural, not scandal: he is running under a party label whose own Arizona organization does not list him as endorsed, and he is a repeat candidate who ran on the Green line in 2024. No response from Aversa to the non-endorsement was found.

Jacob Parkman (Republican, write-in only, not printed on the ballot)

A vote for Parkman counts only if a voter writes his name in. Education (Ballotpedia): high school diploma from Boynton High School, a bachelor's degree from Brigham Young University, Idaho (2015), and a PhD from Brigham Young University (2023). His campaign site adds: a PhD in chemistry and science education, teaching at high school, community college, and university levels as an adjunct professor, husband and father of six children, married 14 years, and a member of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, which he says is the foundation of his public service principles. No prior elected office or prior candidacy found.

Stated priorities (his campaign site, "A Commitment to God, Country, Constitution & Community"): a 16-point conservative platform covering religious liberty and limited government; family and community networks over "permanent government dependency;" education reform including homeschool support and merged high school and community college pathways; health care choice through price transparency, competition, and telehealth; Social Security reform protecting current beneficiaries while giving future generations "greater ownership, investment choice, and retirement assets;" Medicare modernization; small business and deregulation; securing the border and enforcing immigration law while protecting legal immigration; public safety; the Second Amendment; veterans; Arizona water stewardship; energy; science, technology, and AI; foreign policy and defense; and government accountability. Signature line: "I believe public office is a responsibility, not a privilege."

Money: Ballotpedia states that campaign finance information for this candidate is not yet available from the FEC, and no filing over $5,000 was found. The accurate statement: no FEC filing located as of October 27, 2026.

Attacks and coverage: none found. There is essentially no news coverage of his candidacy beyond FOX 10's explainer noting his write-in status.

What the forecasters say

Unanimous and at the safest tier: Cook Political Report Solid D, Inside Elections Solid D, Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D, Decision Desk HQ Safe D, The Economist Safe D. Ballotpedia News summarized the structure in June 2026: "The 3rd Congressional District is guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans will appear on the ballot." In a D+22 district where the incumbent won by 44 points in 2024, the live questions on this ballot are not who wins, but how the three printed challengers and one write-in sort out underneath, and what a voter who wants a non-Democratic option is actually choosing among: a Green nominee his own party opposes and who faces felony charges, a No Labels nominee his party does not list as endorsed, or a Republican whose name must be written in.

Verification notes

  • The 2026 AZ-03 race page on Ballotpedia was not retrieved in this research pass and the Secretary of State's candidate list was not fetched directly; the three-name printed ballot and Parkman's write-in status are corroborated by azcentral (September 29, 2026), the compiled Wikipedia election table, and the Green Papers. Confirm against the Secretary of State listing before treating the ballot as final.
  • Ansari's SAVE Act opposition is thoroughly documented (her April 1, 2025 op-ed announcement and floor speech), but the House Clerk roll call page itself was not retrieved, so this page calls her an outspoken opponent rather than asserting a verified nay from the primary roll call. Her One Big Beautiful Bill nay rests on a roll call aggregator plus her extensive public campaign against the law; the direction is not in doubt, the citation is not the Clerk's page.
  • The 2024 presidential vote by district (Harris 69.19, Trump 29.44) comes from a compiled by-district table built from official returns; it was not recomputed from precinct files. The 2024 Democratic primary margin is reported two ways: AP's recount reporting says 39 votes (19,087 to 19,048); a certified results table shows 19,087 to 19,045, a 42-vote gap. The page cites the recount figure with its attribution.
  • Redkey's case status beyond the September 22, 2026 azcentral story is unknown: no plea, release, trial date, or disposition was found, and no post-arrest public statement beyond his in-court remarks. His age is 44 in his voter guide profile and 45 in the arrest story, unresolved. His campaign site's claim about a defense authorization act provision concerning Israel was not verified and is not republished here as fact.
  • Aversa's $523 figure comes from one FEC-data aggregator; no FEC candidate page for Aversa, Redkey, or Parkman was pulled directly, so "no filing" statements rest on Ballotpedia's FEC note (Parkman) and a tracker that profiles only candidates with filings over $5,000. The published claim is "no FEC filing over $5,000 located," not "never filed anything." His 2012 run and 2022 school board outcome rest solely on his self-submitted biography.
  • One published general election guide (the Rose Law Group 2026 Arizona General Election Guide) lists "Republican: Glenn, Nicholas" as a District 3 general election candidate. That contradicts the certified primary record and Ballotpedia's explicit note that Glenn did not advance; it appears to be a pre-primary filing list carried into a general election guide, and it is not used here for the ballot lineup. Its registration percentages are likewise treated as approximate.
  • The Barron Trump and Tate brothers episode is sourced mainly to reporting carried by lower-authority aggregators plus the existence of an azcentral story; Ansari's quoted words are as reported there. Casualty figures in Iran war material appear in this research only as allegations in her impeachment resolution and are not published here as established fact.
  • Parkman's Candidate Connection survey answers exist on Ballotpedia but were not extractable in text form; his platform above comes from his own campaign website instead. A claim that Sen. Mark Kelly and AFGE endorsed Ansari appears in only one low-authority aggregator and is not included as verified.

How to vote without getting your ballot rejected

  • Mail it by Tuesday, October 27, 2026. After that day, do not mail it: use a drop box or a vote center instead.
  • It must be received by 7 p.m. on Election Day, Tuesday, November 3. Postmarks do not count.
  • Sign and date the affidavit envelope, and write a current phone number on it.
  • Leaving any item blank is allowed. It does not affect the rest of your ballot.

Sources

Ballot Math: analysis only, no endorsements. Every candidate in this race got the same template: offices and record, money with dates, stated priorities, and controversies with responses.