Ballot Math / Arizona Legislature / LD14
Candidate races: Arizona Legislature, District 14

LD14: an open Senate seat, a famous last name, and a 30 year resume on the other side

November 3, 2026 general election. District 14 consists of most of Gilbert, plus tiny parts of Queen Creek and Chandler, about 241,692 people. The whole district sits inside Maricopa County; unlike its neighbors to the south and east, it does not extend into Pinal County. Registration in the 2026 general election guide: 22 percent Democratic, 43 percent Republican, 35 percent other. The Independent Redistricting Commission rated the district outside the competitive range and leaning Republican, with a key election vote spread of Republican plus 17.94 points, and recent results match: the Republican Senate candidate won with 60.1 percent in 2024, and Donald Trump carried the district by about 18 points in the 2024 presidential vote. No forecaster publishes a rating for these specific races.

State Senate: Biggs vs. Walsh for Warren Petersen's open seat

The structural fact: incumbent Sen. Warren Petersen (R), the president of the Arizona Senate, is not running again; he is running for attorney general. Both nominees won their July 21, 2026 primaries unopposed, Biggs with 21,255 votes and Walsh with 13,317. In a district with this registration and this recent history, the Republican starts as the clear favorite, and outside analysts quoted in coverage have said so plainly. Walsh's counter is money and endorsements: she outraised Biggs in the reports retrieved, and she is the only Democrat the Gilbert Chamber of Commerce endorsed in this district after interviewing both candidates. That is the race: name recognition and district lean against a longer resume and a fundraising lead.

Mylie Biggs (Republican)

First time candidate. Daughter of U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs, who represented this area in the Legislature for 14 years before going to Congress and is now running for governor. Political science graduate of the University of Arizona. She works as an associate in government affairs at the Arizona Free Enterprise Club, a conservative advocacy organization, and has also worked for Turning Point USA, per the Arizona Republic. She filed to run on June 18, 2025, initially running on a slate with the district's two Republican House members; the House slate later changed when Rep. Khyl Powell retired for health reasons (see the House race below). She has no legislative record, because she has never held office.

Stated priorities: her campaign site lists four, in its own shorthand: pro Constitution, pro family, pro small government, pro prosperity. She runs as part of a conservative slate, and State Affairs reported the reshuffled LD14 Republican team, Biggs, Rep. Laurin Hendrix, and Tyler Farnsworth, as united around limited government, individual liberty, parental rights, school choice, water stewardship, and a secure border, in Farnsworth's announcement language.

Money: two dated snapshots, and the date is part of the fact. As of her March 2026 campaign finance reports: raised $7,313, spent $1,413, $11,811 on hand. In second quarter reports covered by State Affairs, she finished with about $8,250 on hand, about $6,600 in total income and $4,260 in individual contributions, a $300 contribution from the Freeport-McMoRan PAC, more than $7,580 loaned to her own campaign, and more than $5,580 in personal and family contribution refunds, all from the Arizona Free Enterprise Club, her employer. No later figure was retrieved.

Controversy, with the response that exists: in an August 6, 2024 appearance on The Matty McCurdy Program podcast, a year before she filed, Biggs said: "Honestly, I don't know if I would vote for any female. I don't know if females should be in office," and, pressed on whether she was joking, "Yeah, I don't think women should hold office in general. That's my position. That's my stance. I think women should run the home." She also criticized modern feminism "starting with women's right to vote," and in a later appearance on the same podcast said "Repeal the 19th Amendment" while discussing a map of how women voted. Reporting on the resurfaced clips, including the Phoenix New Times reporting summarized by multiple outlets, notes the obvious tension with her own candidacy. As of the coverage retrieved for this page, Biggs has not publicly addressed the comments since launching her campaign; one account of the podcast noted she called the view a "hot take, even among conservatives" during the interview itself. If she has answered it somewhere, we did not find it, and that gap is stated here rather than filled in.

Stephanie Walsh (Democrat)

Mechanical engineer, business owner, and nonprofit leader from Gilbert. Founder and former owner and CEO of Walsh Engineering Services, a full service engineering firm she says grew to more than 100 employees under her leadership; she sold the company in 2019. More than 30 years of experience in business ownership and energy, per her campaign. Since the sale: board and advisory work including the Partnership for Science and Technology, the Department of Energy BOOST Energy Innovation Board, the Museum of Idaho, and Habitat for Humanity, and in 2021 she launched the Idaho Sustainability and Energy Coalition, which works on geothermal energy, Tribal energy sovereignty, and energy transition projects. Wife and mother of two adult children. She won her primary unopposed.
  • Stated priorities (her campaign and Arizona List profile): promoting responsible energy production; protecting water resources; establishing sound guardrails for artificial intelligence; strengthening the economy and supporting small businesses; and, in her LD14 Democrats statement, delivering tangible results so families can afford to live, work, and raise families in the district.
  • The endorsement that cuts against the district lean: the Gilbert Chamber of Commerce endorsed Walsh for this Senate seat after interviewing both her and Biggs, the only Democrat the Chamber endorsed in LD14. The Chamber endorsed the two Republicans in the House race below, so this was not a party slate endorsement.
  • Money: as of her March 2026 reports: raised $8,175, spent $4,202, $4,471 on hand. In second quarter reports covered by State Affairs, she ended with approximately $11,000 on hand, about $18,600 in total income and more than $9,400 in individual contributions, about $12,000 in expenditures including $9,000 to consultants, and no PAC contributions shown. On both dated snapshots retrieved, she had raised and spent more than Biggs.
  • Record and controversies: she has never held elected office, so there is no voting record to check. None found in the coverage retrieved.

State House: two seats, three candidates, and one open seat

How this race works: vote for up to two. Incumbent Rep. Laurin Hendrix (R) is running again. The second Republican seat opened when Rep. Khyl Powell (R) announced he would not seek reelection, citing health concerns; former Sen. Justine Wadsack briefly entered, then suspended a four day campaign and endorsed Tyler Farnsworth, who runs on the Republican slate with Hendrix and Biggs. In the July 21 primary, Farnsworth took 17,364 votes (41.68 percent) and Hendrix 15,868 (38.09 percent), ahead of Jed Lyons at 8,424 (20.22 percent). Democrat Mary Rose, the only Democrat who filed, won her primary unopposed with 13,281 votes. With one Democrat for two seats, Rose needs a top two finish against both Republicans to take a seat in a district that has not elected a Democrat to these seats in recent cycles.

Laurin Hendrix (Republican, incumbent)

LD14 state representative since January 2023, and previously a state representative from the old District 22 from 2008 to 2010, when U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs was his seatmate. Chairman of the House Rules Committee for the past two years, a gatekeeping post the Arizona Republic notes has let him hold bills that other legislators support. Before and between legislative stints: president of the Maricopa County Community College District governing board, Gilbert Town Council member (he sued in 2020 to claim a council seat he had won, arguing he should be seated immediately), and owner or manager of businesses across auto repair, manufacturing, home construction, land development, retail, importing and exporting, consulting, legal services, and banking. Bachelor's in biochemistry from UC Irvine. Married, eight children, in Arizona almost 40 years.

Key votes (verified individually via Vote Smart and FastDemocracy):

  • HB 2677 (2024), repeal of the 1864 near total abortion ban: NO. He was in the 29 vote no bloc; the bill passed the House 32 to 28 and Gov. Hobbs signed it.
  • HB 2133 (2026), age and consent verification for sexual material published online: YES (conference report, June 11, 2026).
  • Immigration enforcement cluster (2025): YES on SB 1268 (hospitals questioning patients on legal status, passage), HB 2099 (requiring government employees to cooperate with immigration orders, concurrence), and SB 1610 (county jails providing identifying information to ICE, passage).
  • His own signed bill in the coverage: azcentral's LD14 coverage links to its reporting on Gov. Hobbs signing a Hendrix bill on campaign finance complaints, a measure critics framed as shielding campaigns from complaints and supporters framed as requiring identifiable complainants; the Republic's headline for that fight used the word "lawfare." The bill number is not printed here because the sources retrieved for this page did not tie the number to Hendrix by name (see verification notes).

Stated priorities (his voter guide statement): strong border bills, protecting the life of the unborn, cleaning up elections and increasing transparency, protecting school choice and parental rights, improving health care, protecting girls' sports, and restoring constitutional rights. Scorecards and endorsements, attributed: endorsed by NFIB Arizona PAC and the Gilbert Chamber of Commerce; NRA grade A as the incumbent in the NRA PVF listing retrieved; a Freedom Index scorecard of his 2024 votes rated his listed votes 83 percent for its position.

Money: no campaign finance totals for Hendrix were located in the sources retrieved for this page. That is a gap, stated openly, not a zero.

Controversies: two episodes from azcentral's profile, reported as its reporting. His Rules Committee gatekeeping has frustrated fellow lawmakers whose bills he held. And in 2020, after he proposed a community college rule that upset staff, hand drawn swastikas were found in his backyard; Hendrix, who is not Jewish, was the target in that episode, not the author. He was also at the center of an altercation during a Republican meeting in 2024, per the Republic, which did not elaborate in the section retrieved.

Tyler Farnsworth (Republican)

Gilbert investor and marketing company founder; the Arizona Republic described him as a marketing or ad agency executive in different pieces. First time candidate, endorsed by Turning Point Action. He entered late: after Rep. Powell's retirement announcement and former Sen. Wadsack's four day campaign and withdrawal in his favor, he had under two weeks to collect roughly 600 signatures before the March 23, 2026 filing deadline, per State Affairs. He then led the Republican primary, as above.
  • Stated priorities: "freedom," limited government, low taxes, and protecting the Empowerment Scholarship Account voucher program (azcentral). Water is the exception he names to small government: he told the Republic water policy is one of the only justified stewardship roles of government, and he wants more groundwater recharge and banking and chances for Arizonans to conserve water voluntarily.
  • His affordability answer, in his own words to the Republic questionnaire (he was the only LD14 House candidate who answered it in the primary piece): "Affordability problems usually start with government, not the market. The Legislature should keep cutting broad based taxes instead of handing out carve outs to favored industries, and hold the line on spending so we aren't feeding inflation with our own budget." On housing: cut the regulatory backlog, because "we've made it too slow and too expensive to build."
  • Slate and endorsements: runs with Hendrix and Biggs on the Republican team described above; endorsed by NFIB Arizona PAC, the Gilbert Chamber of Commerce, and Turning Point Action.
  • Money: no campaign finance totals located in the sources retrieved. Controversies: none found beyond partisan criticism of his slate and endorsements, which is campaign argument, not a controversy.

Mary Rose (Democrat)

Third generation native Arizonan, Gilbert resident for the past 12 years. Background in human resources and purchasing, per azcentral; a longer profile cited in campaign coverage credits 25 years at Motorola and leadership roles at Honeywell and General Dynamics. She says she learned politics working on Raul Castro's successful gubernatorial campaign. She is the only Democrat in this race, and azcentral calls the campaign what it is: a longshot in a Republican stronghold. The Clean Elections LD14 debate on October 1, 2026 listed all five LD14 candidates, Senate and House.
  • Stated priorities (her LD14 Democrats statement, "Building an Economy for ALL"): affordable housing; funding public schools fairly; water sustainability; and making Gilbert accessible again to working families as, in her words, the affordability crisis shrinks the middle class.
  • Money: no campaign finance totals located in the sources retrieved. Controversies: none found.
  • The math, plainly: she does not need to beat both Republicans combined; she needs to finish ahead of one of them. No Democrat has done that in this district in recent cycles, and her primary vote total, 13,281 running unopposed, was below either Republican's primary total in a contested race. That is context, not a prediction.

Verification notes

  • Candidate names, parties, and primary results were cross checked against at least two sources each: the 2026 Arizona General Election Guide, the Wikipedia 2026 Senate and House election pages built on official results, and azcentral's legislature guide agree on all five general election candidates on this page.
  • Money is dated where it exists and missing where it does not. Dated figures were retrieved only for the Senate race (March 2026 reports, and second quarter reports as summarized by State Affairs). No finance totals for Hendrix, Farnsworth, or Rose were located, so none are printed, and no total should be inferred from that absence.
  • Key votes are printed only where a name level source was retrieved: Vote Smart and FastDemocracy for Hendrix. Biggs, Walsh, Farnsworth, and Rose have never held legislative office, so there are no legislative votes to verify for them; anything beyond that would be biography, not record.
  • The Hendrix campaign finance complaints bill is described without a bill number. A bill tracker result for a 2025 bill on that subject was retrieved, but the sources in hand did not name Hendrix as its sponsor on the page, so the number was left out rather than guessed.
  • Biggs's podcast remarks are quoted from multiple secondary reports of the Phoenix New Times reporting. Her campaign site, as retrieved, does not address them, and no post candidacy response from her was found; if one surfaces, this page should be updated, because the standard here is controversies with responses where they exist.
  • One spelling note: one azcentral primary article rendered the incumbent's first name as "Lauren." Every official and campaign source uses Laurin Hendrix, which is what this page prints.

How to vote without getting your ballot rejected

  • Mail it by Tuesday, October 27, 2026. After that day, do not mail it: use a drop box or a vote center instead.
  • It must be received by 7 p.m. on Election Day, Tuesday, November 3. Postmarks do not count.
  • Sign and date the affidavit envelope, and write a current phone number on it.
  • For write-ins: only votes for officially filed write-in candidates are counted. No official write-in candidate for these LD14 races was listed in the candidate sources checked for this page. Write the name exactly and fill the oval if you use a write-in line in any race.
  • Leaving any item blank is allowed. It does not affect the rest of your ballot.

Sources

Ballot Math: analysis only, no endorsements. Same template as every race on this site: offices and record, key votes, money with dates, stated priorities, controversies with responses, and gaps admitted in the open.